Экономика

МВФ: Рост экономики Молдовы в 2022 году будет нулевым, инфляция достигнет 28,5 процента

13.10.2022, 12:33
{МВФ: Рост экономики Молдовы в 2022 году будет нулевым, инфляция достигнет 28,5 процента } Молдавские Ведомости
Рост экономики Молдовы в 2022 г. будет нулевым, а уровень среднегодовой инфляции достигнет 28,5%. Как передает "ИНФОТАГ", об этом говорится в октябрьском докладе Международного валютного фонда о развитии мировой экономики. Ранее, в апреле, прогноз МВФ был более оптимистичным - рост ВВП на 0,3%, а среднегодовая инфляция - 21,9%.

По новым оценкам экономистов МВФ, в 2023 г. экономика Молдовы вырастет на 2,3%, а в среднесрочном периоде годовой рост ВВП составит 5%.

Что касается инфляции, то в 2023 г.она уменьшится до 13,8%, а к 2027 г. может достигнуть 5%, что соответствует целевому коридору Нацбанка.

В целом МВФ сохранил прогноз роста мировой экономики в 2022 г. в 3,2%, однако снизил прогноз на 2023 г. - с 2,9% до 2,7%. Это вызвано тем, что глобальная экономическая активность переживает масштабное и более резкое, чем ожидалось, замедление, при этом годовая инфляция выше, чем за несколько десятилетий.

"Кризис стоимости жизни, ужесточение финансовых условий в большинстве регионов, вторжение России в Украину и затяжная пандемия COVID-19 сильно влияют на перспективы", - говорится в докладе МВФ.

По мнению его экспертов, денежно-кредитная политика стран мира должна оставаться направленной на восстановление стабильности цен. В то же время, в условиях, когда пандемия отступает, странам мира необходимо восстановить налоговые резервы. Однако бюджетно-налоговая политика не должна идти вразрез с усилиями в области монетарной политики, в противном случае это еще больше усилит финансовую нестабильность.

В 2021 г. молдавский ВВП возрос на 13,9% при инфляции в 5,1%.

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